WAWAWA 忘れ物

anime~manga~figures~nado

Contest Results!

Posted by meronpan on January 2, 2009

fortune_arterial

Fortune Arterial cg

Sorry for the delay, but hopefully you were also bringing in the new year and didn’t mind :P

In the end, there were 23 participants battling for miku. All they had to do was guess how many volumes of (Japanese language) manga I had at the end of the year!

First the answers!

Japanese manga: 426
Light novels: 29
English manga: 57

Turns out only one person got within 10 for the first question, so the tie breakers weren’t necessary. That person was… nanu! omedetou gozaimasu!  Currently getting in contact to finalize the shipment, but barring any unforeseen complications, we have our winner ^_^

Correct Answers 426 manga 29 light novels 57 eigo manga 23 entrants
manga dif light novel dif eigo manga dif sum of squares mse rmse
eetaku 120 306 20 9 40 17 94006 31335 177
seija 200 226 40 -11 45 12 51341 17114 131
fumika 250 176 50 -21 50 7 31466 10489 102
jchow 263 163 25 4 83 -26 27261 9087 95
litokid 265 161 33 -4 18 39 27458 9153 96
GNdynames 290 136 25 4 20 37 19881 6627 81
xiani 292 134 27 2 33 24 18536 6179 79
pus2meong 293 133 28 1 34 23 18219 6073 78
persocom 306 120 27 2 35 22 14888 4963 70
kira 307 119 29 0 15 42 15925 5308 73
tachikaze 315 111 40 -11 19 38 13886 4629 68
memoriesoffaddict 330 96 35 -6 50 7 9301 3100 56
akari 352 74 48 -19 23 34 6993 2331 48
heat horn 360 66 36 -7 18 39 5926 1975 44
phossil 375 51 30 -1 14 43 4451 1484 39
lovely duckie 375 51 65 -36 8 49 6298 2099 46
naijica 391 35 23 6 18 39 2782 927 30
orange 395 31 32 -3 8 49 3371 1124 34
monkee 396 30 51 -22 23 34 2540 847 29
burfordus 400 26 60 -31 200 -143 22086 7362 86
nanu 430 -4 37 -8 9 48 2384 795 28
Syranide 455 -29 21 8 18 39 2426 809 28
blowfish 462 -36 16 13 33 24 2041 680 26

For an easier to digest diagram:

results

Guesses in blue, red line is the correct value. Despite no additions for the duration of the contest, turned out almost everyone guessed too low ^^;;

More random stats for my amusement… kira got the light novels number exactly.  Fumika and memoriesofaddict got the closest for the second tie breaker, both 7 off from the correct value.  Unfortunately there were no runner up prizes this time, gomen! ^^;;

Hopefully I’ll be able to do another contest sometime… at the very least something annual but preferrably sooner.  No guarantees though :P

irasshai

cosplay kissa staff ~ nogizaka haruka no himitsu

Thanks again to everyone for stopping by, it’s been great to get into this hobby with such a supportive community ^_^

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18 Responses to “Contest Results!”

  1. xJAYMANx said

    @Meronpan: Hmm, what is the probability that you got more enjoyment from crunching the stats than Nanu from winning? I’d say 100%, lol. ^o^

  2. optic said

    Congratz nanu. Ur gonna love her to bits. xD

    Another one so soon meronpan? I wonder what figure could it be. xD

  3. rangerroh said

    Congrats! nanu

  4. Persocom said

    nice status report on the contestants XD Grats nanu ^^ Thanks for having a contest, maybe I’ll do one some day myself.

  5. jchow said

    Damit… Total throw off right here –>”Now I’m sitting on over 250 volumes, unfortunately a large part of which I haven’t read yet ^^;;.?”

    Should update about me section ¬¬

  6. Kira said

    Well that was fun congratulations guys!!! Thank you for running the contest!!!

  7. nanu said

    @xJAYMANx: I agree; I am amazed to see arithmetic working, if the basis for my guess was/is true ^^;

    Thanks again, meronpan.
    This was a fun contest for all participants, since timeliness mattered not too much.
    Thanks, everyone.

  8. GNdynames said

    @JChow: same deal with me ^^;

    Not exactly disappointed, but I do need to ponder on whether or not I should buy my own >.<

  9. Fumika said

    Wow… thanks for the contest.

    But I was WAAAAY offf…. I underestimated your otaku powers.

  10. Blowfish said

    This was fun! i really wondered why so many people chose low numbers?
    Congrats to Nanu!

  11. phossil said

    Ohh I was so close!! It was fun!!
    Congrats Nanu *seeing with a envy look* Lol

  12. Q said

    Wow 400+ ?? That’s a lot! Now I wonder how you store them :o

    And of course congrats to nanu!

  13. Orange said

    Congratulations Nanu! That was a fun contest. =]

  14. Litokid said

    …And here I was thinking that the others guessed too high. ^^; Will not underestimate people again.

  15. lovelyduckie said

    I could’ve done worse :)

  16. Rin said

    That is a lot of manga…WOW…
    I have a lot of english mangas but not that much compared to your Jpaanese manga…just wow…

  17. Fumika said

    Where’s that picture in your post from? It reminds me of Fortune Arterial somewhat.

  18. meronpan said

    @xjaymanx what do you expect from a math major with an emphasis in stats? :P

    @optic err, i *want* to have another one soon, but that largely depends on when/if i acquire some extra goodies ^^;; i do have a hearts grow sora cd and some extra volumes of manga layout around though…

    @persocom my pleasure, i always find it enjoyable to give things away ^_^

    @jchow well, there were plenty of pictures around the site that woulda suggested that the number was dated :P but i do admit, i should not only update that number, but the whole about section(s) ^^;;;

    @kira no problem, just wanted to add some holiday cheer ^^

    @nanu my goal was to run something where everyone around the globe had an equal chance… danny’s giveaways were sometimes slightly unfair because people who saw the post first got a head start and i wanted to eliminate that somehow. i’ve got miku boxed up and hopefully will be mailing her off tomorrow, so she should arrive this week!

    @gndynames she’s got an average price for a pvc… i say definitely worth it if you’re a miku fan ^_^

    @fumika yeah, your guess would’ve been accurate around the time i started the blog ^^; if you’re referring to the top pic, it reminds you of fortune arterial because… it is from fortune arterial ^^; The bottom pic is from nogisaka haruka no himitsu… hmm i should edit in the sources…

    @blowfish i think maybe it was because there were some low guesses to start and others didn’t want to dig around for pics and count themselves? so perhaps they just based their answers on previous entries? i admit i didn’t make it easy by linking pics :P

    @phossil very close ^^; better luck next time!

    @q on the dvd shelves you see in my pics from time to time ^_^ although… they’re full now and i don’t have additional storage yet orz

    @orange glad you enjoyed it, and as i mentioned, hopefully another will follow sometime this year ^^

    @litokid if my buying habits didn’t explode since may, they would’ve been a lot closer ^^;; i was actually surprised by the number too

    @lovelyduckie you were pretty close :P or if you’re referring to how your collection completely blows mine out of the water… yes, totally ^_^

    @rin as mentioned above, you should see lovelyduckie’s collection ^^; i think she was over… 800…900 volumes? i also haven’t read a lot of my collection… when konata was talking about why she was buying even though she hadn’t finished her current stuff… i was like, ‘yes, totally! wakaru wakaru!’ ^^;

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